Welsh Birds and climate change
It has been acknowledged by the Government that Bird Populations are a good indicator of what is happening in the environment. In the UK, the British Trust for Ornithology (BTO) organises annual surveys, using standard procedures, and has done for 50+ years. It annually publishes population changes. These give the conservation bodies, hard evidence that changes are afoot. Biannually the Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB), BTO, Countryside Council for Wales (CCW) and Welsh Ornithological Society (WOS) publishes a summary document – “State of the Birds in Wales”.
Populations are never the same each year, they go up and down, relating to
· food supplies
· the number of predators
· disease
· availability of nesting sites
· the weather
· climate change

- Reduced winter mortality in Wales, but increased winter mortality in those species that winter in Africa – linked to desertification.
- Changes in breeding behaviour – earlier egg-laying, reduced clutch sizes – with greater effects on migratory species that may not be in a good condition to breed so early.
- Earlier migration to Wales for the summer, but later migration for Welsh winter visitors.
- Potentially reduced numbers of winter visitors.
- Asynchronisation with prey – leading to earlier breeding, but in the case of some summer migrants this is not possible, leading to population declines.
- Colonisation of Wales of new species.
- Loss of a few species.
- Competition from other species that are increasing due to climatic changes.
- Changes in the oceans, linked to changes in ocean currents altering foodchains.







